Corrigendum to ‘Beyond R 0 : heterogeneity in secondary infections and probabilistic epidemic forecasting’
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Probabilistic Weather Forecasting in R
Abstract This article describes two R packages for probabilistic weather forecasting, ensembleBMA, which offers ensemble postprocessing via Bayesian model averaging (BMA), and ProbForecastGOP, which implements the geostatistical output perturbation (GOP) method. BMA forecasting models use mixture distributions, in which each component corresponds to an ensemble member, and the form of the compo...
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An important issue in theoretical epidemiology is the epidemic thresholdphenomenon, which specify the conditions for an epidemic to grow or die out.In standard (mean-field-like) compartmental models the concept of the basic reproductive number, R(0), has been systematically employed as apredictor for epidemic spread and as an analytical tool to study thethreshold conditions. Despite the importa...
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a Average Daily Biting rate 0.164 [15] b Fraction of actually infective bites 0.088 Fitted to data mH Humans Natural Mortality rate 3.5r10x5 days x1 [16] rH Birth rate of humans 8 days x1 [16] kH Humans Carrying Capacity 16r10 [16] aH Dengue Mortality in Humans 10 x3 days x1 [17] cH Humans recovery rate 0.143 days x1 [17] pS Susceptible eggs hatching rate 0.15 days x1 [18] d1 Winter modulation ...
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S ince 2000, almost half a million Americans have died from drug overdoses. This modern plague— largely driven by opioid addiction—degrades health, saps productivity, spawns crime, and devastates families, all at enormous societal cost. How did we get here, and what do we do now? About 20 years ago, compassionate advocacy for better treatment of chronic pain, combined with aggressive marketing ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of The Royal Society Interface
سال: 2021
ISSN: 1742-5662
DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2021.0168