Eliciting opinions of experts using uncertainty
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Evidence as opinions of experts
We describe a viewpoint on the Dcmpstcr/Shafcr "Theory of Evidence", and provide an interpretation which regards the combination formulas as statistics of the opinions of "experts". This is done by introducing spaces with binary operations that arc simpler to interpret or simpler to implement than the standard combination formula, and showing that these spaces can be mapped homomorphically onto...
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Bayesian networks are typically designed in collaboration with a single domain expert from a single institute. Since a network is often intended for wider use, its engineering involves verifying whether it appropriately reflects expert knowledge from other institutes. Upon engineering a network intended for use across Europe, we compared the original probability assessments obtained from our Du...
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INTRODUCTION Laparoscopic surgery is particularly known for its complex technique, which calls for operative analysis of laparoscopic instruments. This study investigates the opinion of experts about clinical problems with instruments occurring during laparoscopic surgery. METHODS A questionnaire was used to obtain the opinions of expert laparoscopic surgeons about difficulties experienced op...
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Foresight and technological forecasting often involve applying qualitative methods for eliciting and using experts’ judgement, e.g. in the form of much scenario workshop activity. Quantitative methods using expert judgement are also very common in these exercises, with Delphi and cross-impact being among the best-known. But there is a marked shortage of clear guidance as to when and where and h...
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Background and aim: Pemphigus vulgaris (PV) is the most common blistering disease in Iran and many other Asian countries with a relatively high incidence and involvement of both skin and mucous membrances in majority of patients. The aim of this study was to assess the opinions of Asian experts on the diagnosis and management of PV. Materials and Methods: A questinnaire-based mailed/emailed sur...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Lietuvos matematikos rinkinys
سال: 2015
ISSN: 2335-898X,0132-2818
DOI: 10.15388/lmr.a.2015.14