Empirical Comparisons in Short-Term Interest Rate Models Using Nonparametric Methods

An Empirical Comparison of Alternative Models of the Short-Term Interest Rate

We estimate and compare a variety of continuous-time models of the short-term riskless rate using the Generalized Method of Moments. We find that the most successful models in capturing the dynamics of the short-term interest rate are those that allow the volatility of interest rate changes to be highly sensitive to the level of the riskless rate. A number of well-known models perform poorly in...

LECTURE 7 Interest Rate Models I: Short Rate Models

The Volatility of Short-Term Interest Rates: An Empirical Comparison of Alternative Models of the Term Structure of Interest Rates*

We estimate and compare a variety of continuous-time models of the short-term riskless rate using the generalised method of moments. We find that the most successful models in capturing the dynamics of the short-term interest rate are those that allow the volatility of interest rate changes to be highly sensitive to the level of the riskless rate. A number of well-known models perform poorly in...

Dynamic relationships between stock market performance and short term interest rate Empirical evidence from Sri Lanka

This study examines the dynamic relationships between stock market performance and the interest rates in Sri Lanka during June 2004 to April 2011. We use all share price index in the Colombo stock exchange as a measure of stock market performance indicator and Sri Lanka interbank offer rate as a measure of interest rate. We employ some conventional time series econometric techniques namely Unit...

Nonlinear Mean Reversion in the Short-Term Interest Rate

Using a new Bayesian method for the analysis of diffusion processes, this article finds that the nonlinear drift in interest rates found in a number of previous studies can be confirmed only under prior distributions that are best described as informative. The assumption of stationarity, which is common in the literature, represents a nontrivial prior belief about the shape of the drift functio...