Empirical prediction intervals improve energy forecasting
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Empirical prediction intervals improve energy forecasting.
Hundreds of organizations and analysts use energy projections, such as those contained in the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)'s Annual Energy Outlook (AEO), for investment and policy decisions. Retrospective analyses of past AEO projections have shown that observed values can differ from the projection by several hundred percent, and thus a thorough treatment of uncertainty is essent...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
سال: 2017
ISSN: 0027-8424,1091-6490
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1619938114