Exploring the Overestimation of Conjunctive Probabilities
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Exploring the Overestimation of Conjunctive Probabilities
People often overestimate probabilities of conjunctive events. The authors explored whether the accuracy of conjunctive probability estimates can be improved by increased experience with relevant constituent events and by using memory aids. The first experiment showed that increased experience with constituent events increased the correlation between the estimated and the objective conjunctive ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Frontiers in Psychology
سال: 2013
ISSN: 1664-1078
DOI: 10.3389/fpsyg.2013.00101