Extremal behaviour of models with multivariate random recurrence representation

Extremal Behaviour of Diiusion Models in Nance

We investigate the extremal behaviour of a diiusion (X t) given by the SDE dX t = (X t)dt + (X t)dW t ; t > 0 ; X 0 = x ; where W is standard Brownian motion, is the drift term and is the diiusion coeecient. Under some appropriate conditions on (X t) we prove that the point process of "{upcrossings converges in distribution to a homogeneous Poisson process. As examples we study the ex-tremal be...

the application of multivariate probit models for conditional claim-types (the case study of iranian car insurance industry)

هدف اصلی نرخ گذاری بیمه ای تعیین نرخ عادلانه و منطقی از دیدگاه بیمه گر و بیمه گذار است. تعین نرخ یکی از مهم ترین مسایلی است که شرکتهای بیمه با آن روبرو هستند، زیرا تعیین نرخ اصلی ترین عامل در رقابت بین شرکتها است. برای تعیین حق بیمه ابتدا می باید مقدار مورد انتظار ادعای خسارت برای هر قرارداد بیمه را برآورد کرد. روش عمومی مدل سازی خسارتهای عملیاتی در نظر گرفتن تواتر و شدت خسارتها می باشد. اگر شر...

Multivariate latent Gaussian random field mixture models

Multivariate random effect models with complete and incomplete data

This paper considers the problem of estimating fixed effects, random effects and variance components for the multi-variate random effects model with complete and incomplete data. It also considers making inference about the fixed and random effects, a problem which requires careful consideration of the choice of degrees of freedom to use in confidence intervals. This paper uses the EM algorithm...

Evolution models with extremal dynamics

The random-neighbor version of the Bak-Sneppen biological evolution model is reproduced, along with an analogous model of random replicators, the latter eventually experiencing topology changes. In the absence of topology changes, both types of models self-organize to a critical state. Species extinctions in the replicator system degenerates the self-organization to a random walk, as does vanis...