Forecasting project schedule performance using probabilistic and deterministic models

Probabilistic Solar Forecasting Using Quantile Regression Models

In this work, we assess the performance of three probabilistic models for intra-day solar forecasting. More precisely, a linear quantile regression method is used to build three models for generating 1 h–6 h-ahead probabilistic forecasts. Our approach is applied to forecasting solar irradiance at a site experiencing highly variable sky conditions using the historical ground observations of sola...

Improving the performance of financial forecasting using different combination architectures of ARIMA and ANN models

Despite several individual forecasting models that have been proposed in the literature, accurate forecasting is yet one of the major challenging problems facing decision makers in various fields, especially financial markets. This is the main reason that numerous researchers have been devoted to develop strategies to improve forecasting accuracy. One of the most well established and widely use...

Processing Probabilistic and Deterministic Graphical Models

Probabilistic and Piecewise Deterministic models in Biology

We present recent results on Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs), involved in biological modeling. PDMPs, first introduced in the probabilistic literature by [30], are a very general class of Markov processes and are being increasingly popular in biological applications. They also give new interesting challenges from the theoretical point of view. We give here different examples on...

Forecasting Final Schedule and Cost of Projects by Using Statistical and Mathematical Method

Earned value management (EVM) has prepared some methods to forecast final costs of projects. These methods were not developed since the start of formation and were gradually completed, of course with one exception that is its authenticity, they are still remained unchanged. At the present time EVM guide does not apply from schedule indices to forecast schedule for completion of project and ...