Gutenberg–Richter B-Value Time Series Forecasting: A Weighted Likelihood Approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
We introduce a novel approach to estimate the temporal variation of b-value parameter Gutenberg–Richter law, based on weighted likelihood approach. This methodology allows estimating full history available data, within data-driven setting. test this against classical “rolling window” using high-definition Italian seismic catalogue as well global high magnitudes. The outperforms competing methods, and measures optimal amount past information relevant estimation.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Forecasting
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2571-9394']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast3030035