Hidden semi-Markov-switching quantile regression for time series
نویسندگان
چکیده
A hidden semi-Markov-switching quantile regression model is introduced as an extension of the Markov-switching one. The proposed allows for arbitrary sojourn-time distributions in states chain. Parameters estimation carried out via maximum likelihood method using Asymmetric Laplace distribution. As a by product specification, formulae and methods forecasting, state prediction, decoding checking that exist ordinary models can be applied to model. simulation study investigate behaviour performed covering several experimental settings. empirical analysis studies relationship between stock index from emerging market China those advanced markets, investigates determinants high levels pollution Italian small city.
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Article history: Received 14 April 2009 Available online 17 November 2009
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['0167-9473', '1872-7352']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2021.107208