Hierarchical forecasting for aggregated curves with an application to day-ahead electricity price auctions

Application of a New Hybrid Method for Day-Ahead Energy Price Forecasting in Iranian Electricity Market

Abstract- In a typical competitive electricity market, a large number of short-term and long-term contracts are set on basis of energy price by an Independent System Operator (ISO). Under such circumstances, accurate electricity price forecasting can play a significant role in improving the more reasonable bidding strategies adopted by the electricity market participants. So, they cannot only r...

Forecasting day ahead electricity price using ARMA methods

Day-ahead Price Forecasting of Electricity Markets by a New Hybrid Forecast Method

Energy price forecast is the key information for generating companies to prepare their bids in the electricity markets. However, this forecasting problem is complex due to nonlinear, non-stationary, and time variant behavior of electricity price time series. Accordingly, in this paper a new strategy is proposed for electricity price forecast. The forecast strategy includes Wavelet Transform (WT...

A MIP framework for non-convex uniform price day-ahead electricity auctions

It is well-known that a market equilibrium with uniform prices often does not exist in non-convex day-ahead electricity auctions. We consider the case of the non-convex, uniformprice Pan-European day-ahead electricity market ”PCR” (Price Coupling of Regions), with non-convexities arising from so-called complex and block orders. Extending previous results, we propose a new primal-dual framework ...

Price Eastimation for Day-ahead Electricity Market Using Fuzzy Logic

Price estimation is becoming increasingly relevant to producers and consumersin the new competitive electric power markets. Both for spot markets and short termcontracts, price forecasts are necessary to develop bidding strategies in order to maximizetheir benefits and utilities, respectively. Price estimation has become a very valuable toolin the current upheaval of electricity market deregula...