I. S. MELEKHOV’S SCALE OF NATURAL FIRE DANGER OF FOREST ECOSYSTEMS: OVERVIEW OF MODERN RUSSIAN METHODOLOGICAL APPROACHES

The article reviews various methodological approaches to assessing natural fire danger (NFD) and the creation, updating, application of NFD maps, which modern domestic researchers develop. Herein we introduce analyse currently accepted assessment scale by I. S. Melekhov. As pointed out researchers, drawbacks are listed. paper development a new approach compilation regional scales for forests, considering links between forest growth conditions seasonal climatic in regions Russian Federation. methodology mapping based on vegetation fuel maps proposed scientific group Sukachev Forest Institute SВ RAS was studied. works Mytishchi branch Bauman Moscow State Technical University were reviewed investigate possibility applying mathematical modelling methods long-term forecasting changes under different scenarios management. method annual classes, as CEPF RAS, is described. An example assess probability fires Complex Analysis FEB Regional Problems considered. Future research areas identified, namely, cartographic representation created results NFD.