Identical twins and Bayes' theorem in the 21st century

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چکیده

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Identical twins and Bayes ' theorem in the 21 st century [

In a recent article in on "Bayes' Theorem in the 21st Century", Bradley Science Efron uses Bayes' theorem to calculate the probability that twins are identical given that the sonogram shows twin boys. He concludes that Bayesian calculations cannot be uncritically accepted when using uninformative priors. We argue that this conclusion is problematic because Efron's example on identical twins doe...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: F1000Research

سال: 2013

ISSN: 2046-1402

DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.2-278.v1