On the application of rainfall projections from a convection-permitting climate model to lumped catchment models

نویسندگان

چکیده

Climate change is predicted to increase rainfall intensity in tropical regions. Convection permitting (CP) climate models have been developed address deficiencies conventional that use parameterised convection. However, date, precipitation projections from CP not used conjunction with hydrological explore potential impacts of explicit modelling convective on river flows the tropics. Here we apply outputs a continental scale model as inputs lumped rainfall-runoff Africa for first time. Applied five catchments Lake Victoria Basin, show produces greater than an equivalent using convection both current and future (c. 2100) climate. location near results limited changes extreme relative mean flows. Application data area where extremes more does result significant Instead, this shown be structure parameterisation, which posit due large-scale storage associated wetland cover, buffers impact extremes. Based assessment attributes (wetland coverage, water table depth, topography, precipitation, evapotranspiration flow) global-scale datasets research, buffering may extensive across humid catchment these areas are unlikely increases

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Hydrology

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2589-9155']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129097