Parametric Uncertainty in Intra-Herd Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemiological Models

Parametric Uncertainty in Intra-Herd Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemiological Models

Introduction The rapid transmission and poor control policy response during recent Foot-and-Mouth disease (FMD) outbreaks have underscored the need for better decision support tools. At the foundation of these decision support tools are the epidemiological models that are parameterized with the data generated from pathogenesis studies of the FMD virus that contain contact transmission data. The...

Modelling Foot-and-Mouth disease: A comparison of epidemiological models

Introduction Models have been used for some times with the aim of helping in decision making around Foot-and-Mouth Disease (FMD) outbreaks. However, up to very recently, most of these models could mainly be seen as training tools, because Western European and North American countries, as well as Australia and New Zealand, where many of them have been developed, had been free of FMD for many yea...

Indirect Complement Fixation in Foot-and-Mouth Disease

Models of foot-and-mouth disease.

During the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak in the UK, three very different models were used in an attempt to predict the disease dynamics and inform control measures. This was one of the first times that models had been used during an epidemic to support the decision-making process. It is probable that models will play a pivotal role in any future livestock epidemics, and it is therefore i...

Epidemiological patterns of foot-and-mouth disease worldwide.

Foot-and-Mouth Disease (FMD) is a clinical syndrome in animals due to FMD virus that exists in seven serotypes, whereby recovery from one sero-type does not confer immunity against the other six. So when considering intervention strategies in endemic settings, it is important to take account of the characteristics of the different serotypes in different ecological systems. FMD serotypes are not...