Peramalan Import Migas dan Non-migas Menggunakan Metode Fuzzy Time Series Model Cheng
نویسندگان
چکیده
Konsumsi minyak dan gas (migas) Non-migas di dalam negeri dari waktu ke terus meningkat. Peningkatan ini tidak bisa dipenuhi hasil produksi migas negeri. Akibatnya, Indonesia yang dulu dikenal sebagai kaya kini harus rutin mengimpor luar Pada penelitian ini, digunakan salah satu metode untuk melakukan prediksi atau peramalan yakni Fuzzy Time Series Cheng. Data aktual adalah Peramalan Import Migas pada Januari 2019 sampai Oktober 2021, akan dilakukan proses impor November 2021 Agustus 2024. Berdasarkan perhitungan telah menggunakan Cheng, dihasilkan kesimpulan kinerja dikatakan sangat baik rentang nilai MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) < 10 % yaitu sebesar 6%.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: JATISI: Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2503-2933', '2407-4322']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.35957/jatisi.v9i4.2885