Peramalan Menggunakan Fuzzy Time Series Berbasis Algoritma Novel
نویسندگان
چکیده
Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) adalah metode peramalan yang digunakan untuk mengolah data aktual dibentuk ke dalam nilai-nilai linguistik. Salah satu FTS yaitu berbasis Algoritma Novel. Novel merupakan perkembangan dari sebelumnya dimana pada langkah peramalannya menggunakan kecenderungan menentukan nilai peramalannya. Metode ini akan diaplikasikan Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK) Kota Samarinda periode Januari 2018 - Desember 2019 dengan penentuan panjang intervalnya average based length. IHK indikator ekonomi sangat penting dan memiliki pengaruh terhadap laju inflasi ekonomi. Penelitian bertujuan memperoleh tingkat akurasi Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) serta di bulan 2020. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, diperoleh MAPE – sebesar 0,038%. Hasil 2020 140,00.
 
 Kata Kunci: algoritma novel, FTS, IHK,
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: STATISTIKA: Journal of Theoretical Statistics and Its Applications
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2599-2538', '1411-5891']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.29313/statistika.v21i2.336