Predictive performance of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts: Verification metrics, diagnostic plots and forecast attributes

Predictive performance is one of the most important issues for practical applications ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts. While different forecasting studies tend to use combinations verification metrics and diagnostic plots, this paper presents a literature survey popular metrics, plots their corresponding forecast attributes. Twenty quantify predictive ensemble, deterministic categorical forecasts are detailed; six types visualize relationship between observations presented; correspondence relationships with ten attributes illustrated. Numerical experiments devised raw precipitation generated by Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) illustrate The results suggest that pay attention some similar can be related another. Meanwhile, not necessarily in full accordance as they reflect Time series over period interest graphically bias, reliability skill. Quantile range provide an overall diagnosis association observations. Overall, illustrated individual grid cells also screened spatial at regional global scales. presented article serve roadmap selection verifying This categorized under: Science Water > Hydrological Processes