Price Setting Under Uncertainty About Inflation

Inflation Targeting under Uncertainty

This paper studies the implications of certain kinds of uncertainty for monetary policy. It first describes the optimum policy rule in a simple model of the transmission mechanism as in Ball and Svensson. It then examines how this rule ought to be modified when there is uncertainty about the parameters, about the time lags, or about the nature of shocks. The paper also discusses the case of a s...

Price Setting and Inflation Persistence in Austria

Price Setting and Inflation Persistence in Austria

Does Lower Inflation Imply Lower Price Uncertainty?

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On Price Caps under Uncertainty

This paper shows how standard arguments supporting the imposition of price caps break down in the presence of demand uncertainty. In particular, though in the deterministic case the introduction or lowering of a price cap (above marginal cost) results in increased production, increased total welfare, decreased prices, and increased consumer welfare, we show that all of the above comparative sta...