Remaining useful life prediction of PEMFC systems under dynamic operating conditions
نویسندگان
چکیده
The Prognostic and Health Management (PHM) has been developed for more than two decades. It is capable to anticipate the impending failures make decisions in advance extend lifespan of target systems, such as Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cell (PEMFC) systems. a critical stage PHM. Among various prognostic methods, data-driven ones could predict system based on device’s knowledge historical data. In Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction, Indicators (HIs) should be able reflect health states PEMFC stack. Moreover, an effective HI help define explicit degradation state improve prediction accuracy. HIs voltage power are usually used under static conditions due their monotonic decreasing characteristics. Besides, measurements current implemented easily practice. Nevertheless, unable directly dynamic operating because they sensitive mission profiles. To overcome weakness HIs, convenient practical named Relative Power-loss Rate (RPLR) proposed herein. According polarization curve at beginning life, initial different profiles can identified. Then actual obtained by monitoring continuously. Finally, RPLR calculated power. Afterward, RUL predicted some Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms. approaches, Echo State Network (ESN) provided efficient promising solution Compared with classical Recurrent Neural (RNN), it accelerate convergence rate reduce computational complexity. traditionally single-input ESN structure feeble handle varying As scheduling variable, interesting parameter since represents working properties extent. Considering system’s characteristics, stack regarded another input ESN, output matrix’s dimension increased same time. Therefore, double-input enhance performance. Based RPLR, three micro-cogeneration (?-CHP) durability tests systems verify improved structure.
منابع مشابه
Bayesian Approach for Remaining Useful Life Prediction
Prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of critical components is a non-trivial task for industrial applications. RUL can differ for similar components operating under the same conditions. Working with such problem, one needs to contend with many uncertainty sources such as system, model and sensory noise. To do that, proposed models should include such uncertainties and represent the bel...
متن کاملPrediction of Remaining Useful Life of anAircraft Engine under Unknown Initial Wear
Effectiveness of Condition Based Maintenance (CBM) strategy depends on accuracy in prediction of Remaining Useful Life (RUL).Data driven prognosisapproaches are generally used to estimate the RUL of the system. Presence of noise in the system monitored data may affect the accuracy of prediction. One of the sources of data noise is the presence of unknown initial wear in the samples. Present pap...
متن کاملA Study on Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Prognostic Applications
We consider the prediction algorithm and performance evaluation for prognostics and health management (PHM) problems, especially the prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) for the milling machine cutter and lithium‐ion battery. We modeled battery as a voltage source and internal resisters. By analyzing voltage change trend during discharge, we made the prediction of battery remain discharge ...
متن کاملA Similarity-based Prognostics Approach for Remaining Useful Life Prediction
Physics-based and data-driven models are the two major prognostic approaches in the literature with their own advantages and disadvantages. This paper presents a similarity-based data-driven prognostic methodology and efficiency analysis study on remaining useful life estimation results. A similarity-based prognostic model is modified to employ the most similar training samples for RUL estimati...
متن کاملRemaining Useful Life Estimation In the Presence of Given Shocks
In a system, prediction of remaining useful lifetime (RUL) of servicing before reaching to a specified breakdown threshold is a very important practical issue, and research in this field is still regarded as an appreciated research gap. Operational environment of an equipment is not constant and changes regarding to stresses and shocks. These random environmental factors accelerate system deter...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Energy Conversion and Management
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['0196-8904', '1879-2227']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2021.113825