Scoring Rules for Forecast Verification
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Solving the problem of inadequate scoring rules for assessing probabilistic football forecast models
Despite the massive popularity of probabilistic (association) football forecasting models, and the relative simplicity of the outcome of such forecasts (they require only three probability values corresponding to home win, draw, and away win) there is no agreed scoring rule to determine their forecast accuracy. Moreover, the various scoring rules used for validation in previous studies are inad...
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Introduction Conclusions References Tables Figures Back Close Full Screen / Esc Papers published in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions are under open-access review for the journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Abstract Introduction Conclusions References Tables Figures Back Close Full Screen / Esc Abstract In the present paper we describe some methods for verifying and evalua...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Monthly Weather Review
سال: 2010
ISSN: 1520-0493,0027-0644
DOI: 10.1175/2009mwr2945.1