Short-term daily precipitation forecasting with seasonally-integrated autoencoder

نویسندگان

چکیده

Short-term precipitation forecasting is essential for planning of human activities in multiple scales, ranging from individuals’ planning, urban management to flood prevention. Yet the short-term atmospheric dynamics are highly nonlinear that it cannot be easily captured with classical time series models. On other hand, deep learning models good at interactions, but they not designed deal seasonality series. In this study, we aim develop a model can both handle nonlinearities and detect hidden within daily data. To end, propose seasonally-integrated autoencoder (SSAE) consisting two long memory (LSTM) autoencoders: one dynamics, Our experimental results show only does SSAE outperform various regardless climate type, also has low output variance compared The seasonal component helped improve correlation between forecast actual values 4% horizon 1 37% 3.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Short and Mid-Term Wind Power Plants Forecasting With ANN

In recent years, wind energy has a remarkable growth in the world, but one of the important problems of power generated from wind is its uncertainty and corresponding power. For solving this problem, some approaches have been presented. Recently, the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as a heuristic method has more applications for this propose. In this paper, short-term (1 hour) and mid-term (24...

متن کامل

Short-term quantitative precipitation forecasting using an object-based approach

Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing (CHRS), The Henry Samueli School of Engineering, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, California, E/4130 Engineering Gateway, Irvine, CA 92697, United States NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma, 120 David L. Boren Blvd., Rm. 4745, Norman, OK 73072, United States Department of Civi...

متن کامل

Short and Mid-Term Wind Power Plants Forecasting With ANN

In recent years, wind energy has a remarkable growth in the world, but one of the important problems of power generated from wind is its uncertainty and corresponding power. For solving this problem, some approaches have been presented. Recently, the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as a heuristic method has more applications for this propose. In this paper, short-term (1 hour) and mid-term (24...

متن کامل

Short - Term Load Forecasting

This paper presents a novel hybrid method for short-term load forecasting. The system comprises of two artificial neural networks (ANN), assembled in a hierarchical order. The first ANN is a multilayer perceptron (MLP) which functions as integrated load predictor (ILP) for the forecasting day. The output of the ILP is then fed to another, more complex MLP, which acts as an hourly load predictor...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Applied Soft Computing

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1568-4946', '1872-9681']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2021.107083