Short-term daily precipitation forecasting with seasonally-integrated autoencoder
نویسندگان
چکیده
Short-term precipitation forecasting is essential for planning of human activities in multiple scales, ranging from individuals’ planning, urban management to flood prevention. Yet the short-term atmospheric dynamics are highly nonlinear that it cannot be easily captured with classical time series models. On other hand, deep learning models good at interactions, but they not designed deal seasonality series. In this study, we aim develop a model can both handle nonlinearities and detect hidden within daily data. To end, propose seasonally-integrated autoencoder (SSAE) consisting two long memory (LSTM) autoencoders: one dynamics, Our experimental results show only does SSAE outperform various regardless climate type, also has low output variance compared The seasonal component helped improve correlation between forecast actual values 4% horizon 1 37% 3.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Applied Soft Computing
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1568-4946', '1872-9681']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2021.107083