Simpson's paradox … and how to avoid it

How to avoid knowing it

Beliefs have been formally modelled in the last decades using doxastic logics. The possible worlds model and its associated Kripke semantics provide an intuitive semantics for these logics, but they seem to commit us to model agents that are logically omniscient (they believe every classical tautology) and perfect reasoners (their beliefs are closed under classical deductive closure). Thus, thi...

Incompatibility in Prescriptions and How to Avoid It

The Garbage Catastrophe of Aging and How to Avoid It

The Myth of the MAPE . . . and how to avoid it

Demand planners in supply chain organizations are accustomed to using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as their best answer to measuring forecast accuracy. It is so ubiquitous that it is hardly questioned. I do not even find a consensus on the definition of the underlying forecast error among supply chain practitioners participating in the demand forecasting workshops I conduct worldwide.

Plagiarism, its consequences, and how to avoid it

Plagiarism is a form of cheating, by which one presents as her/his work, what others have done. It may be severely punished, and could cause serious problems later in life. Self-plagiarism is also possible. Plagiarism, its consequences and and how to avoid it are discussed further below. 1 Plagiarism: What is it? Plagiarism often involves dishonest use of work done by others (including work in ...