Statistical techniques for modeling extreme price dynamics in the energy market

the test for adverse selection in life insurance market: the case of mellat insurance company

انتخاب نامساعد یکی از مشکلات اساسی در صنعت بیمه است. که ابتدا در سال 1960، توسط روتشیلد واستیگلیتز مورد بحث ومطالعه قرار گرفت ازآن موقع تاکنون بسیاری از پژوهشگران مدل های مختلفی را برای تجزیه و تحلیل تقاضا برای صنعت بیمه عمر که تماما ناشی از عدم قطعیت در این صنعت میباشد انجام داده اند .وهدف از آن پیدا کردن شرایطی است که تحت آن شرایط انتخاب یا کنار گذاشتن یک بیمه گزار به نفع و یا زیان شرکت بیمه ...

Crop Price Comovements During Extreme Market Downturns

This paper develops and estimates mixture models of crop price comovements using copula functions, which allow for departures from normality during extreme market circumstances. The models also account for unique time series patterns inherent in crop price data. The paper reaches two main conclusions. First, mixture models appear to provide an easy-to-estimate approach for capturing real-life c...

Application of a New Hybrid Method for Day-Ahead Energy Price Forecasting in Iranian Electricity Market

Abstract- In a typical competitive electricity market, a large number of short-term and long-term contracts are set on basis of energy price by an Independent System Operator (ISO). Under such circumstances, accurate electricity price forecasting can play a significant role in improving the more reasonable bidding strategies adopted by the electricity market participants. So, they cannot only r...

Market Structure and Price Adjustment in the Iranian Tea Market

modeling asymmetric price volatility for tehran province’s chicken market

the price fluctuations of chicken and its production inputs are one of the main challenges in broiler industry which affects the producer and consumer‘s welfare. this study investigates the price fluctuations of broiler and the price fluctuations of the two important inputs of broiler production -e.g. one day-old chick and soybean meal- in tehran province. to achieve the purpose, the non-linear...