Stock return predictability in South Africa: The role of major developed markets
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Co-Movement of Pakistan Stock Market with the Stock Markets of Major Developed Countries which have Portfolio Investment in Pakistan
The focal objective of this study is to analyze and explore the Co-movement of Pakistan stock market (KSE-100) with the stock market of developed countries (US, UK, Canada, Australia, Germany, Japan, France and Neither land) which have portfolio investment in Pakistan by applying co-integration approach using Johansen and Juselius multivariate and bi variate co-integration. Secondary data of st...
متن کاملThe Limits to Stock Return Predictability∗
We examine predictive return regressions from a new angle. We ask what observable univariate properties of returns tell us about the “predictive space” that defines the true predictive model: the triplet ¡ λ,R2 x, ρ ¢ , where λ is the predictor’s persistence, R2 x is the predictive R-squared, and ρ is the "Stambaugh Correlation" (between innovations in the predictive system). When returns are n...
متن کاملStock Return Predictability in a Monetary Economy
In an economy where agents hold money, the short interest rate determines the trade-off between money holdings and consumption. Building on this idea, we develop a theoretical model that shows the transmission mechanism through which the short rate finds its way to stock-return predictability regressions. We construct a cointegration relation that links share prices and dividends to the short i...
متن کاملEfficient Tests of Stock Return Predictability
Empirical studies have suggested that stock returns can be predicted by financial variables such as the dividend-price ratio. However, these studies typically ignore the high persistence of predictor variables, which can make first-order asymptotics a poor approximation in finite samples. Using a more accurate asymptotic approximation, we propose two methods to deal with the persistence problem...
متن کاملThe relationship between stock markets of major developed countries and Asian emerging markets
With the emergence of new capital markets and liberalization of stock markets in recent years, there has been an increase in investors’ interest in international diversification. This is so because international diversification allows investors to have a larger basket of foreign securities to choose from as part of their portfolio assets, so as to enhance the reward-to-volatility ratio. This be...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Finance Research Letters
سال: 2015
ISSN: 1544-6123
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.10.014