The Romanian Pension System Reforms: Evidences from Legislative Roll Call Analysis

Pension System Reforms

A Structural Approach to Legislative Roll Call Vote Prediction

I present a structural approach to the task of legislative roll call vote prediction. Given a voting history, consisting of co-sponsorship information and voting records for past legislation, along with a new piece of legislation with sponsor and co-sponsor information, the task is to predict whether the new legislation will pass or be rejected. I propose an approach that constructs a network r...

Predicting Legislative Roll Calls from Text

We develop several predictive models linking legislative sentiment to legislative text. Our models, which draw on ideas from ideal point estimation and topic models, predict voting patterns based on the contents of bills and infer the political leanings of legislators. With supervised topics, we provide an exploratory window into how the language of the law is correlated with political support....

Pension Reforms in India

Life expectancy has shot up in recent decades. When public pension systems were first established, people could typically look forward to only a few years of retirement if any. Today, globally, the probability of a newborn boy surviving until age 65 is over 80%; the figure is over 90% for a girl child. Aging populations are “a high-class” problem, said U.S. President Bill Clinton in his 1999 St...

Retirement Expectations and Pension Reforms

We estimate the effect of pension reforms on households’ expectations of retirement outcomes and wealth accumulation decisions exploiting a decade of pension reforms as a source of exogenous variation in expected pension wealth. Two parameters are crucial to estimate pension wealth: the age at which workers expect to retire and the expected ratio of pension benefits to pre-retirement income. Th...