Using Mechanical Trading Systems to Evaluate the Weak Form Efficiency of Futures Markets

assessment of the efficiency of s.p.g.c refineries using network dea

data envelopment analysis (dea) is a powerful tool for measuring relative efficiency of organizational units referred to as decision making units (dmus). in most cases dmus have network structures with internal linking activities. traditional dea models, however, consider dmus as black boxes with no regard to their linking activities and therefore do not provide decision makers with the reasons...

Weak-Form Efficiency In The German Stock Market

The Index Futures Markets: Is Screen Trading More Efficient?

The first author would like to record his gratitude to the Julian Hodge Foundation for its support, and to Hong Kong Baptist University for its hospitality during the writing of this paper.

Investor Sentiment, Trading Behavior and Informational Efficiency in Index Futures Markets

This paper shows that traders in index futures markets are positive feedback traders—they buy when prices increase and sell when prices decline. Positive feedback trading appears to be more active in periods of high investor sentiment. This finding is consistent with the notion that feedback trading is driven by expectations of noise traders. Consistent with the noise trading hypothesis, order ...

A Model of Returns and Trading in Futures Markets

This paper develops an equilibrium model of a competitive futures market in which investors trade to hedge positions and to speculate on their private information. Equilibrium return and trading patterns are examined. ~1! In markets where the information asymmetry among investors is small, the return volatility of a futures contract decreases with time-to-maturity ~i.e., the Samuelson effect ho...