Short Term Local Meteorological Forecasting Using Type-2 Fuzzy Systems

نویسندگان

  • Arianna Mencattini
  • Marcello Salmeri
  • Stefano Bertazzoni
  • Roberto Lojacono
  • Eros Pasero
  • Walter Moniaci
چکیده

Meteorological forecasting is an important issue in research. Typically, the forecasting is performed at “global level,” by gathering data in a large geographical region and by studying their evolution, thus foreseeing the meteorological situation in a certain place. In this paper a “local level” approach, based on time series forecasting using Type-2 Fuzzy Systems, is proposed. In particular temperature forecasting is inspected. The Fuzzy System is trained by means of historical local time series. The algorithm uses a detrend procedure in order to extract the chaotic component to be predicted.

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تاریخ انتشار 2005