The Load Forecasting Model Based on Bayes-GRNN

نویسندگان

  • Yanmei Li
  • Jingmin Wang
چکیده

Comparison with the classical BP neural network, the generalized regression neural network requires not periodic training process but a smoothing parameter. The model has steady and fast speed, and meanwhile, the connection weight of different neurons is not necessary to be adjusted in the training process. The paper establishes the index system of GRNN forecasting model, and then uses Bayes theory to reduce them, which will be inputting variables of GRNN model. The method is testified to get higher speed and accuracy by simulation of actual data and comparison to classical BP neural network.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A hybrid annual power load forecasting model based on generalized regression neural network with fruit fly optimization algorithm

0950-7051/$ see front matter 2012 Elsevier B.V. A http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2012.08.015 ⇑ Corresponding author. Tel.: +86 15811424568; fa E-mail address: [email protected] (S. Guo). Accurate annual power load forecasting can provide reliable guidance for power grid operation and power construction planning, which is also important for the sustainable development of electric power indus...

متن کامل

Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFN) in PJM Electricity Market

A precise short-term load forecasting technique is required for the economic and reliable operation of power system. Modern load forecasting techniques especially ANN methods are attractive as they have the ability to handle the non-linear relationships between load, weather temperature and the factors affecting it directly. In this paper, an investigation on the use of ANN for short term load ...

متن کامل

The General Regression Neural Network Based on the Fruit Fly Optimization Algorithm and the Data Inconsistency Rate for Transmission Line Icing Prediction

Accurate and stable prediction of icing thickness on transmission lines is of great significance for ensuring the safe operation of the power grid. In order to improve the accuracy and stability of icing prediction, an innovative prediction model based on the generalized regression neural network (GRNN) and the fruit fly optimization algorithm (FOA) is proposed. Firstly, a feature selection met...

متن کامل

Wind Speed Forecasting Based on EMD and GRNN Optimized by FOA

As a kind of clean and renewable energy, wind power is winning more and more attention across the world. Regarding wind power utilization, safety is a core concern and such concern has led to many studies on predicting wind speed. To obtain a more accurate prediction of the wind speed, this paper adopts a new hybrid forecasting model, combing empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and the general r...

متن کامل

Currency Crisis Forecasting with General Regression Neural Networks

The main purpose of this study is to devise a general regression neural network (GRNN)based currency crisis forecasting model for Southeast Asian economies based upon the disastrous 1997–1998 currency crisis experience. For this some typical indicators of currency exchange rates volatility are first chosen, then these indicators are input into GRNN for training, and finally the trained GRNN is ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • JSW

دوره 7  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2012