Comment on Cooke's classical method
نویسنده
چکیده
Several of the papers in this special issue are in one way or another linked to Cooke’s ‘‘classical’’ method for combining expert probability distributions. This comment focuses on characteristics of that method. In particular, I consider two questions: does the weighting scheme give the experts a positive incentive to report their beliefs honestly for each variable? How does Cooke’s method perform when evaluated out-of-sample? r 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
منابع مشابه
Health Improvements for a Healthy Shanghai Rising; Comment on “Shanghai Rising: Health Improvements as Measured by Avoidable Mortality since 2000”
The commentator suggests that it is necessary to extend the classical connotation of global city which focuses much on the functions of controlling global capital and production. Global city should also include the dimensions of the leading role and capacity on health improvements and well-being promotion. The commentator agrees with authors’ assessments about Shanghai’s substantial progress o...
متن کاملcomment about Comparison of the Effects of Modern Assessment Methods (DOPS and Mini-CEX) with traditional method on Nursing Students' Clinical Skills: A Randomized Trial
This article has no abstract.
متن کاملThe Psychiatric Gaze: Deviance and Disability in Film
"This is a true story," Leaning against the seats in a seemingly empty theater, journalist Alistair Cooke stands in front of a blank screen and introduces the plot of Ttie Three Faces of Eve (1957), Cooke functions as a surrogate spokesman for Drs, Thigpen and Cleckley, the two psychiatrists who originally authored this case study. Much of the film's dialogue, Cooke reassures us, is taken direc...
متن کاملPublic Participation: More than a Method?; Comment on “Harnessing the Potential to Quantify Public Preferences for Healthcare Priorities through Citizens’ Juries”
While it is important to support the development of methods for public participation, we argue that this should not be at the expense of a broader consideration of the role of public participation. We suggest that a rights based approach provides a framework for developing more meaningful approaches that move beyond public participation as synonymous with consultation to value the contribution ...
متن کاملKeyword Discovery by Measuring Influence Rates on Bulletin Board Services
In this paper, we focus on relations between comments on Tree-style Bulletin Board Services (BBSs), and propose a method for discovering keywords by measuring influence rates thereon. Our method is based on an extended model of Influence Diffusion Model (IDM) proposed by N. Matsumura et al. in 2002, where they discussed the influence diffusion of a term in a comment to all succeeding comments t...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
- Rel. Eng. & Sys. Safety
دوره 93 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2008