Dynamic R&D Competition under Uncertainty and Strategic Disclosure

نویسندگان

  • Yangbo Song
  • Mofei Zhao
چکیده

We study a model of dynamic two-stage R&D competition where the competing firms are uncertain about the difficulty of the first stage. Staying in the competition is costly and a firm can also choose whether and when to quit. When a firm solves the first stage, it can choose whether and when to disclose the solution. We find that there exists a unique symmetric equilibrium, in which each firm will disclose the solution of the first stage if it arrives early, withhold the solution if it arrives neither too soon nor too late, and exit the competition if it has not arrived after a sufficiently long time. From a social welfare perspective, a competition is surprisingly not always optimal: in certain scenarios, it is socially more desirable to assign the R&D project to a single firm.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Quantifying the Strategic Option Value of Technology Investments

We develop an integrated real options and industrial organization framework to quantify the strategic option value of technology investments. Strategic investments (e.g., R&D, capacity expansion or strategic acquisitions) are difficult to analyze based on standard approaches. Yet, it is these decisions that determine a firm’s competitive success in a changing technological and competitive lands...

متن کامل

Strategic Collaboration in Dynamic R&D Competitions

I develop a model to study the strategic decision to collaborate in a multi-stage R&D race by a technological leader and a follower. I examine how individual decisions are affected by the strength and the breadth of the Intellectual Property (IP) regime in place, where the breadth defines the stages in which the innovator is granted IP rights, and the strength is a measure of the bargaining pow...

متن کامل

Combination of real options and game-theoretic approach in investment analysis

Investments in technology create a large amount of capital investments by major companies. Assessing such investment projects is identified as critical to the efficient assignment of resources. Viewing investment projects as real options, this paper expands a method for assessing technology investment decisions in the linkage existence of uncertainty and competition. It combines the game-theore...

متن کامل

Strategic Relationships between Buyers and Sellers under Uncertainty

We analyze strategic relationships between buyers and sellers in markets with relationship-specific costs and exogenous dynamic uncertainty by investigating the scenario wherein a representative buyer trades with two sellers in a different country. We show that under exchange rate uncertainty, relationship-specific costs may either raise or lower competition and the level of prices in long-term...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • CoRR

دوره abs/1610.03715  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016