Utility of Potential Misdiagnoses in Predicting Foodborne Outbreaks

Introduction Reliable detection and accurate scoping of outbreaks of foodborne illness are the keys to effective mitigation of their impacts. However, relatively small number of persons affected and underreporting, challenge the reliability of surveillance models. In this work, we correlate a record of identified outbreaks and sporadic cases of Salmonellosis in humans retained in PulseNet1, and diagnosis codes in hospital claims collected in California from 2006 to 2010. We hypothesize that the data support and reliability of detection could be improved by including cases in which Salmonella infection may be confused2.