The Short-Run Effect of Public Transit on Crime 1 PRELIMINARY AND INCOMPLETE: PLEASE DO NOT CITE WITHOUT PERMISSION

نویسندگان

  • David C. Phillips
  • Danielle Sandler
  • Cathy Lanier
چکیده

According to popular perception, public transit spreads crime. This belief is often a major reason for opposing expansion of urban mass transit systems. However, the existing empirical literature finds little evidence in support of this theory. We address this question using a novel identification strategy based on temporary, maintenance-related closures of stations in the Washington, DC rail transit system. The closures generate plausibly exogenous variation in transit access across space and time, allowing us to test the popular notion that crime can be facilitated by public transit. While we find no evidence that closing a rail station decreases crime at the closed station itself, we find strong evidence that closing stations reduces crime elsewhere. This reduction in crime is concentrated near stations and particularly at stations in neighborhoods where few previous offenders reside.

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تاریخ انتشار 2013