Long-term prognostic implication of coronary plaque characterization as detected by 64-multidetector computed tomography in Egyptian population

Objectives We aimed to determine the role of multi-detector computed tomography (MDCT) in prognosis of patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) by applying plaque characterization and whether obstructive versus non-obstructive plaque volume is a predictor of future cardiac events. Background Vulnerable plaques may occur across the full spectrum of severity of stenosis, underlining that also non-obstructive lesions may contribute to coronary events. Methods We included 1000 consecutive patients with intermediate pretest likelihood of CAD who were evaluated by 64-MDCT. Coronary artery calcium scoring, assessment of degree of coronary stenosis and quantitative assessment of plaque composition and volume were performed. The end point was cardiac death, acute coronary syndrome, or symptom-driven revascularization. Results After a median follow-up of 16 months, 190 patients had suffered cardiac events. In a multivariate regression analysis for events, the total amount of non-calcified plaque (NCP) in non-obstructive lesions was independently associated with an increased hazard ratio for non-fatal MI (1.01-1.9/100-mm3 plaque volume increase, p = 0.039), total amount of obstructive plaque was independently associated with symptoms driven revascularization (p = 0.04) and coronary artery calcium scoring (CACS) was independently associated with cardiac deaths (p = 0.001). Conclusion MDCT is a non-invasive imaging modality with a prognostic utility in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease by applying plaque characterization and it could identify vulnerable plaques by measuring the total amount of NCP in non-obstructive lesions which could be useful for detecting patients at risk of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and guide further preventive therapeutic strategies. CACS was shown to be an independent predictor of mortality, while total amount of obstructive volume was shown to be an independent predictor of symptoms driven revascularization.