Letter to the Editor the Higher Moments of the Number of Returns of a Simple Random Walk
نویسنده
چکیده
We consider a simple random walk starting at 0 and leading to 0 after 2n steps. By a generating functions approach we achieve closed formulae for the moments of the random variables `number of visits to the origin' . GENERATING FUNCTIONS ; CATALAN NUMBERS AMS 1991 SUBJECT CLASSIFICATION : PRIMARY 60J15 Let Xk , k = 1, 2, • • • be independent and identically distributed random variables with P{Xk = 1 } = P{Xk = 1} = Z . Consider the simple random walk n, S,,, = > Xk with So = 0 and Sz„ = 0, k=1 i .e . a simple random walk starting at 0 and leading to 0 after 2n steps. Let the variable T be the number of visits to the origin . In [2] the higher moments of this random variable were expressed as sums where the number of terms increases with n . The authors also gave asymptotic formulae by means of a Mellin transform approximation of the sums . In a following paper [4] the higher moments are described by certain recurrence relations with `full history', i .e. using all moments of smaller order . The aim of this note is, motivated by a comment in [2], to give closed-form expressions (i .e . the number of terms is independent of n) for the moments in question . Our generating functions approach would also allow one to get the asymptotics in an elementary way . We mention two other problems where this kind of approach can be used . In order to get a suitable expression for the generating function we decompose the family V of random walks in question according to their returns. Noting that between any two consecutive returns a walk is either positive (W + ) or negative (W_) we have Adv. Appl. Prob. 26, 561-563 (1994) Printed in N. Ireland © Applied Probability Trust 1994 (1) <W=(W+ + V)*, where the asterisk denotes the combinatorial construction of forming finite sequences of elements of the concerned set of objects . It is well known that the generating function of `W+ (or W) involves the Catalan Received 21 April 1993; revision received 7 July 1993 . * Postal address : Department of Algebra and Discrete Mathematics, Wiedner Hauptstr . 8-10/118, Technical University of Vienna, A-1040 Wien, Austria . 561
منابع مشابه
Letter to the Editor Some Comments on the Higher Moments of the Number of Returns of a Simple Random Walk
be independent and identically distributed random variables with PfX k = 1g = PfX k = ?1g = 1 2. Consider the simple random walk S m = m X k=1 X k with S 0 = 0 and S 2n = 0; i.e. a simple random walk starting at 0 and leading to 0 after 2n steps. To this random walk the random variable T = number of visits to the origin] is associated. In 2] the higher moments of this random variable were expre...
متن کاملTesting Weak-Form Efficient Capital Market Case Study: TSE and DJUS Indices
The present study investigated weak-form market information efficiency in Tehran security exchange (TSE) as an emerging market and in Dow Jones United States security exchange (DJUS) as a developed market based on random walk model. In each market, the random walk model was examined using daily and monthly returns of a set of indices. The results of the parametric and non-parametric tests indic...
متن کاملLong Memory in Stock Returns: A Study of Emerging Markets
The present study aimed at investigating the existence of long memory properties in ten emerging stock markets across the globe. When return series exhibit long memory, it indicates that observed returns are not independent over time. If returns are not independent, past returns can help predict future returns, thereby violating the market efficiency hypothesis. It poses a serious challenge to ...
متن کاملSecond Order Moment Asymptotic Expansions for a Randomly Stopped and Standardized Sum
This paper establishes the first four moment expansions to the order o(a^−1) of S_{t_{a}}^{prime }/sqrt{t_{a}}, where S_{n}^{prime }=sum_{i=1}^{n}Y_{i} is a simple random walk with E(Yi) = 0, and ta is a stopping time given by t_{a}=inf left{ ngeq 1:n+S_{n}+zeta _{n}>aright} where S_{n}=sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{i} is another simple random walk with E(Xi) = 0, and {zeta _{n},ngeq 1} is a sequence of ran...
متن کاملA Fuzzy Random Walk Technique to Forecasting Volatility of Iran Stock Exchange Index
Study of volatility has been considered by the academics and decision makers dur-ing two last decades. First since the volatility has been a risk criterion it has been used by many decision makers and activists in capital market. Over the years it has been of more importance because of the effect of volatility on economy and capital markets stability for stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange mark...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 1993