Evaluation of rangeland gross primary productivity sensitivity potential to drought using ecosystem modelling

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چکیده مقاله:

Gross primary productivity is one of the most important factors in the carbon cycle of terrestrial ecosystems. With global warming increase, the frequent drought events and the specific response of regional vegetation to these changes, it is essential to identify and quantify the relationships between climatic and GPP data in arid region. In this study, the responses of gross primary productivity to drought in ecosystems of Bordekhun region located in southwest of Iran, were analyzed during growing season (November-April) using BGC-MAN model (i.e. Bio-Geo-Chemistry Management Model) and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) over the period of 2000–2015. After analyzing the spatial and temporal patterns of gross primary productivity and drought by correlation coefficient (R), the relationship between GPP and SPI was determined. The validation of this model was conducted using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) GPP data derived from 16-day composite surface reflectance (MOD13A3). Correlation coefficient between simulated GPP and the estimated one derived from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) at the same time with SPI was significant (R2=0.14, P<0.05) at seasonal scale. Moreover, the form of plants type’s response was different over the growing season. At the same drought condition, grassland showed the highest correlation in the middle of the growing season (January and February) whereas the largest value of correlation for shrub land obtained at the end of the growing season (March and April) which indicates different sensitivity of vegetation to water availability. The results also revealed that ecosystem modelling could be an alternative approach to estimating GPP with the potential to simulate spatial GPP in arid regions. However, performance of the proposed model in other regions still needs further verifications.

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عنوان ژورنال

دوره 17  شماره 1

صفحات  13- 25

تاریخ انتشار 2023-05

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