The TIE-GCM simulator of the upper atmosphere has a number of features that are a challenge to standard approaches to emulation, such as a long run-time, multivariate output, periodicity, and strong constraints on the inter-relationship between inputs and outputs. These kinds of features are not unusual in models of complex systems. We show how they can be handled in an emulator, and demonstrat...

the present research focuses on the changes of urmia lake level. for this purpose, two timescales have been considered. the trend changes of temperature, precipitation rate and quantitative values of climate type for the observational period from 1968 to 2011 (past scale) and from 2011 to 2100 (future scale) have been analyzed. general circulation model (gcm) is considered for simulating the va...

The problem of oceanographic state estimation, by means of an ocean general circulation model (GCM) and a multitude of observations, is described and contrasted with the meteorological process of data assimilation. In practice, all such methods reduce, on the computer, to forms of least-squares. The global oceanographic problem is at the present time focussed primarily on smoothing, rather than...

[1] Two versions of a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (GCM) with different climate sensitivities are tested on global cooling following the Pinatubo volcanic eruption to investigate the validity of high climate sensitivities. The higher-sensitivity version, with climate sensitivity of 6.3 K for doubled CO2 forcing, overestimates cooling due to the volcanic eruption, whereas t...

The breeding method has been implemented in the NASA Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project (NSIPP) coupled general circulation model (CGCM) with the ultimate goal of improving operational seasonal to interannual climate predictions through ensemble forecasting and data assimilation. This is the first attempt to isolate the evolving ENSO instability and its corresponding global atmospheric ...

Regional climate models (RCMs) in general can simulate the characteristics of heavy/extreme precipitation more accurately than general circulation models (GCMs) as a result of more realistic representation of topography and mesoscale processes. An analogue method of statistical downscaling, which identifies the resolved large-scale atmospheric conditions associated with heavy precipitation, is ...

introduction numerous studies have demonstrated the relationship between the amount of co2 in the atmosphere and climate change. in this respect, developed countries have an undeniable role and cause serious damage to earth environment throughout the world. ipcc’ forth evaluation report implies that adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere during recent decades prevents the heat rays to emit w...

A single column model (SCM) version of the HadGEM1 is run in weak temperature gradient (WTG) mode, assuming a free-tropospheric temperature profile obtained from the same single column model in radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE) over a sea surface temperature (SST) of 301K. The resulting quasi-steady solutions are compared with climate statistics from time-dependent solutions of the full 3D...