نتایج جستجو برای: auto regressive distributed lag model ardl

تعداد نتایج: 2344012  

Journal: :Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan 2023

The repetition of policy dynamics on Quantitative Easing (QE) and interest rate by Fed potentially cause fluctuations in the exchange rate, including Indonesia. Therefore, this study aims to analyze determinants impacts shocks. Inflation (INF), Money Supply (LJUB), Open Market Operations (OPT), Foreign Exchange Reserves (LCD), Expected (LEHU) Interest Rates (SB) were used Rate (NT) through Auto...

Journal: :تحقیقات اقتصادی 0
عبدالله خانی استادیار دانشکدة اقتصاد، دانشگاه اصفهان زهره کریمی دانشجوی دکتری حسابداری، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی آزاد، واحد علوم و تحقیقات اصفهان لیلا کریمی دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد، دانشگاه شیراز

in this paper we examine the effect of the oil volatility, consumer price index (cpi) and industrial production on the stock market return in tehran stock exchange (tse). we used seasonal data in period 1378-1390 and auto regressive distributed method (ardl) for the short-term and long-term relationship between the variables. as results of research indicate, we find that there is positive short...

اسدپورکردی, مریم, امیرنژاد, حمید, مردانشاهی, محمدمهدی,

     In many developed and developing countries, the agricultural sector plays an important role in food production, employment and trade. Employment issues and complexities of today's society as well as the attention of many politicians, has attracted experts. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the factors affecting agricultural employment Because the investment and val...

Crude oil accounts for the lion’s share of the demand for fossil fuels. Within the past few decades, increased oil consumption in a variety of economic sectors has lead to massive release of toxic pollutants and greenhouse gases, most specially Carbon Dioxide, as well as inflicting damages to the Earth like global warming and climate change. Accordingly, it is imperative to explore the relation...

Journal: :E3S web of conferences 2022

The impact of the Covid 19 pandemic on Indonesian economy was worse than global financial crisis in 2008. We can see business cycle from contraction economic growth, volatility exchange rate, and inflation. shocks to these cycles could create systemic risks influence system stability. Financial stability is more sensitive changes one macroprudential indicators, namely Indonesia Composite Index ...

1997
M. Hashem Pesaran Yongcheol Shin

This paper examines the use of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models for the analysis of long-run relations when the underlying variables are I(1). It shows that after appropriate augmentation of the order of the ARDL model, the OLS estimators of the short-run parameters are p T -consistent with the asymptotically singular covariance matrix, and the ARDL-based estimators of the long-run ...

در این پژوهش، عوامل مؤثر بر بهره‌وری کل عوامل (TFP) در اقتصاد ایران با تأکید بر نسبت شاغلان دارای تحصیلات عالی به عنوان جانشین سرمایه انسانی از نوع آموزش، سرمایه تحقیق و توسعه دولتی، نسبت تولید بالفعل به بالقوه به عنوان شاخص میزان استفاده از ظرفیت‌ها را مورد بررسی قرار داده‌ایم. نتایج برآورد الگو با استفاده از داده‌های آماری سری زمانی سال‌های 47-1383 به روش مدل خودتوضیح با وقفه‌های گسترده[1]ARD...

اهمیت توسعۀ بازارهای مالی در رشد اقتصادی همواره از مباحث کلیدی در اقتصاد توسعه است. هدف این مقاله بررسی تأثیر توسعۀ بازار مالی بر رشد اقتصادی ایران در کوتاه‌مدت و بلندمدت طی دوره زمانی (1386-1345) است. بدین منظور، از دو شاخص مختلف توسعۀ بازارمالی (نسبت پس‌‌انداز مالی به تولید ناخالص داخلی و نسبت اعتبارات داخلی به تولید ناخالص داخلی)، در دو الگوی مجزا و در قالب مدل اقتصادسنجی خود توضیح با وقفه‌ه...

Journal: :Global economics review 2022

This study explores whether Pakistan's current account deficit-acted as a mediator in the linkage between devaluation of currency and expansion economy from 1972 to 2016. All variables have been shown heterogeneous order integration by using Augmented Ducky Fuller (ADF), Phillips-Perron (PP), Ng-Parron unit root tests. As this article, Auto regressive Distributive Lag Model (ARDL) is used figur...

Journal: :Cogent economics & finance 2022

The present study is designed to examine the relationship between wage inequalities and economic prosperity in case of Pakistan. Using provincial-level data for years 2000 2020, estimated a multivariate regression model by employing Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) pooled mean group (PMG) technique. results reveal that inequality, government development spending, labor force participatio...

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