We investigate the interdependence of the default risk of several Eurozone countries (France, Germany, Italy, Ireland, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain) and their domestic banks during the period June 2007 May 2010, using daily credit default swaps (CDS). Bank bailout programs changed the composition of both banks’ and sovereign balance sheets and, moreover, affected the linkage between the default...

Traditionally retail banks have supported the credit decision-making on scorecards developed for predicting default in a six-month period or more. However, the underlying pay/no pay cycles justify a decision in a 30-day period. In this work several classification models are built on this assumption. We start by assessing binary scorecards, assigning credit applicants to good or bad risk classes...

This paper employs a two-period life-cycle model to derive the optimal tax policy when educational investments are subject to credit constraints. Credit constraints arise from the limited commitment of debitors to repay loans and are endogenously determined by private banks under the non-default condition that individuals cannot be better off by defaulting. We show that the optimal redistributi...

Using 5-year credit default swap (CDS) contracts on 1,247 U.S. firms from 2003 2011, we show a 3-month formation and 1-month holding period CDS momentum strategy yields 52 bps per month. By incorporating past CDS return signals, we further show traditional stock momentum strategies avoid abrupt losses during the crisis period and improve their performance by net 104 bps per month. Both within C...

In this study it has been initiated to find out the credit strength and financial performance of cement industries in Bangladesh through investigating the financial report for the period from 2007 to 2011. Financial ratios are employed to measure the Liquidity (Working capital to Total Assets), Profitability (Retained Earnings to Total Assets), Efficiency (Earnings before Interest and Taxes to ...

Unfortunately it could also be used to defraud these agencies. In the period immediately following their introduction public acceptance of credit cards was less than enthusiastic, but by 1992 there were almost 10 million major credit cards in use in Australia.2 There were also in excess of 25,000 fraudulent credit card transactions per annum. In this, then, as in so many other areas of property...

Using a regime switching framework we investigate the determinants of default clustering. We find that a common credit cycle, modeled as a two-state Markov chain, can account for a large portion of default correlations, with the residual clustering being captured by a factor structure. During credit crunches default rates increase, and so does the conditional residual correlation. Using data fo...

Financial credit risk assessment has gained a great deal of attention. Many different parties have an interest in credit risk assessment. Banking authorities are interested because it helps them to determine the overall strength of the banking system and its ability to handle adverse conditions. Due to the importance of credit risk analysis, many methods were widely applied to credit risk measu...

In this study, an EOQ (Economic Order Quantity) inventory mathematical model is constructed for a deteriorating item having time dependent demand when delay in payment is permissible. The deterioration rate is assumed to be a constant and the time varying demand rate is taken to be an exponential declining function of time. Mathematical models are also derived under two different circumstances,...