نتایج جستجو برای: oil price
تعداد نتایج: 218881 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
â â â â â â abstract â using a structural var with block exogeneity, diagonality and identifying restrictions, this paper analyzes: first, the macroeconomic linkages among the oil price, u.s. output, interest rate, money supply, general price level and exchange rate and second, the relationships of the macroeconomic variables with the price indices of ten international nonfuel commodity grou...
according to the importance of careful review of crude oil market fluctuations on the iranian economy, in this paper a multivariate model of markov switching vector error correction model (have been used). variables such as real gross domestic product in industrial sector, real effective exchange rate, real governmental expenditure, real import, inflation rate and real crude oil price is used t...
This paper presents a differentiated approach for assessing the effect of oil price changes on gold price and the stock index, during upward and downward movements, using the Markov Switching Bayesian VAR model to analyze data for Iran over the period 2009 to 2016. We study the non-linear relationship between the price of oil and gold and the stock market index during periods of price decrease...
the purpose of establishing foreign reserves account in iran was mainly to secure iran's economy from the oil's price changes. it was to compensate for oil price reduction. but foreign reserves account withdrew excessively and did not allocate it optimally. that's why; it went for away from its practical purpose. this study focuses on the use of official assessment pattern to rev...
The characteristics of crude oil and the factors affecting the price of this energy carrier have caused its price forecast to always be considered by researchers, oil market activists, governments and policy makers. Since the price of crude oil is affected by many factors, therefore, continuous studies should be done in this way so that the estimates made over time, the results are more accurat...
With the rapidly increasing global energy needs, offshore oil production has become an attractive source of energy. Supplying offshore oil production installations is a complex logistics problem that hinges on many factors with significant uncertainties. So, it is critical to provide the necessary supplies and services without interruption. In a typical offshore oil production effort, oil compa...
Using the threshold structural VAR model, this paper examines the multiheterogeneity impacts of international oil price shocks on Chinese stock market in the background of financialization. The research finds: (1) the effects of oil price shocks on stock returns are different across sectors and the responses of stock returns are larger in bear markets. The nonlinear effects of oil supply shocks...
The main objective of this study is to investigate the effects of oil shocks on GDP, prices level, money and exchange rates in Iran by using the structural vector error correction (SVEC) approach model covering the period 1980Q2-2010Q1. The findings of this study reveal that positive shock in oil real price has significant and positive effect on the real GDP in the short, medium and long. The i...
Forecasting crude oil price volatility is an important issues in risk management. The historical course of oil price volatility indicates the existence of a cluster pattern. Therefore, GARCH models are used to model and more accurately predict oil price fluctuations. The purpose of this study is to identify the best GARCH model with the best performance in different time horizons. To achieve th...
the price of oil plays an important role in the global economy and is an important factor influencing the government and commercial sectors. because of increasing importance of oil in financial markets, oil price predictions have always been an important subject for the researchers in economics, and other economic agents. this paper tries to study the behavior of crude oil prices based on smoot...
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