In this paper we study the dynamics of a simple asset pricing model describing the trading activity of heterogeneous agents in a ”stylized” market. The economy in the model contains two assets: a bond with risk-less return and a dividend paying stock. The price of the stock is determined through market clearing condition. Traders are speculators described as expected utility maximizers with het...

We investigate the risk-return relation in international stock markets using realized variance constructed from MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) daily stock price indices. In contrast with the capital asset pricing model, realized variance by itself provides negligible information about future excess stock market returns; however, we uncover a positive and significant risk-return tra...

This paper presents a general intensity-based framework to value executive stock options (ESOs). It builds upon the recent advances in the credit risk modeling arena. The early exercise or forfeiture due to voluntary or involuntary employment termination and the early exercise due to the executive’s desire for liquidity or diversification are modeled as an exogenous point process with random in...

There are two common methods for pricing European call options on a stock with known dividends. The market practice is to use the Black-Scholes formula with the stock price reduced by the present value of the dividends. An alternative approach is to increase the strike price with the dividends compounded to expiry at the risk-free rate. These methods correspond to different stock price models a...

In this note, we develop stock option price approximations for a model which takes both the risk o default and the stochastic volatility into account. We also let the intensity of defaults be influenced by the volatility. We show that it might be possible to infer the risk neutral default intensity from the stock option prices. Our option price approximation has a rich implied volatility surfac...

We characterize the joint dynamics of expected returns, stochastic volatility, and prices. In particular, with a given dividend process, one of the processes of the expected return, the stock volatility, or the price-dividend ratio fully determines the other two. For example, the stock volatility determines the expected return and the price-dividend ratio. By parameterizing one, or more, of exp...

this paper aims to investigate the effect of firm reporting quality, timeliness andquantity for disclosure and reliability of financial reports on the reaction of stockprice delay. statistical population includes 111 active firms in tehran stock exchangeduring 2010-2014 using cochrane method with the confidence level of95%. totally, they were 555 firms-years. in this paper, linear and nonlinear...

according to stock price excessive volatility in tehran stock exchange, the price limit mechanism is utilized in order to making the price fluctuation narrow and based on the specific periods, the price limit has encountered some variations which price limit has been determined by try and error within these periods and in a short stage of time many modifications existed through the applications...

Authors present the stock price prediction algorithm by using Bayesian network. The present algorithm uses the network twice. First, the network is determined from the daily stock price and then, it is applied for predicting the daily stock price which was already observed. The prediction error is evaluated from the daily stock price and its prediction. Second, the network is determined again f...