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This report documents the development of a probabilistic model to represent the occurrence rate and characteristics of future hurricanes capable of producing significant surge inundation along the Mississippi coast, using available hurricane data and statistical tools that have been developed for the offshore oil industry. The report also documents the generation of a suite of synthetic storms,...

To better understand the change in global hurricane intensity since 1970, we examined the joint distribution of hurricane intensity with variables identified in the literature as contributing to the intensification of hurricanes. We used a methodology based on information theory, isolating the trend from the shorter-term natural modes of variability. The results show that the trend of increasin...

Abstract Evidence suggests that hurricanes can influence the evolution of organisms, with phenotypic traits involved in adhesion, such as toepads arboreal lizards, being particularly susceptible to natural selection during strong storms. To investigate this idea, we quantified trait variation before and after Hurricanes Irma Maria (2017) forest urban populations Puerto Rican lizard Anolis crist...

T heoretical and modeling assessments consistently point toward an increase in hurricane intensity with global warming (1–3). For the North Atlantic, the annual number of the most intense hurricanes has been predicted to increase by more than 50% for each 1-°C increase in surface temperatures (2, 4). However, there is no consensus on whether current hurricanes have responded to the substantial ...