a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: C32 C51 L94 Q40 Keywords: Wholesale spot electricity price markets Constant and dynamic conditional correlation Multivariate GARCH This paper examines the interrelationships of wholesale spot electricity prices among the four regional A multivariate generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model with time-varying correlations. Dynamic c...

Abstract. Definitions from the theory of point processes are recalled. Models of intensity function paramaterization and maximum likelihood estimation from data are explored. Closed-form log-likelihood expressions are given for the Hawkes (unidimensional andmultidimensional)process, Autoregressive Conditional Duration(ACD), and Log-ACD models. The Autoregressive Conditional Intensity model is a...

Distributional theory for Quasi-Maximum Likelihood estimators in long memory conditional heteroskedastic models is not formally defined, even asympotically. Because of that, this paper analyses the performance of the Likelihood Ratio and the Lagrange Multiplier misspecification tests for Periodic Long Memory GARCH models. The real size and power of these tests are studied by means of Monte Carl...

We propose a new method for multivariate forecasting which combines Dynamic Factor and multivariate GARCH models. We call the model Dynamic Factor GARCH, as the information contained in large macroeconomic or financial datasets is captured by a few dynamic common factors, which we assume being conditionally heteroskedastic. After describing the estimation of the model, we present simulation res...

Abstract. Definitions from the theory of point processes are recalled. Models of intensity function paramaterization and maximum likelihood estimation from data are explored. Closed-form log-likelihood expressions are given for the Hawkes process, Autoregressive Conditional Duration(ACD), and Log-ACD models. The Autoregressive Conditional Intensity model is also discussed. Data from the symbol ...