نتایج جستجو برای: spatial spread
تعداد نتایج: 464707 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
This study examines the spatial nature of optimal bioinvasion control. We develop a spatially explicit two-dimensional model of species spread that allows for differential control across space and time, and we solve for optimal spatial-dynamic control strategies. The qualitative nature of optimal strategies depends in interesting ways on aspects of landscape and invasion geometry. For example, ...
One of the central goals of mathematical epidemiology is to predict disease transmission patterns in populations. Two models are commonly used to predict spatial spread of a disease. The first is the distributed-contacts model, often described by a contact distribution among stationary individuals. The second is the distributed-infectives model, often described by the diffusion of infected indi...
Understanding the role of humans in the dispersal of predominantly animal pathogens is essential for their control. We used newly developed Bayesian phylogeographic methods to unravel the dynamics and determinants of the spread of dog rabies virus (RABV) in North Africa. Each of the countries studied exhibited largely disconnected spatial dynamics with major geopolitical boundaries acting as ba...
Cycling is a phenomenon in urban transportation that has the ability to allocate a specific location at any moment in time. Accordingly, spatial analysis of bicycle trips can be accompanied by temporal analysis. The use of a GIS environment is commonly recommended to display the extent of the phenomenon's spatial changes. However, in order to apply and display changes over time, it will requir...
This article describes an original methodology for integrating global SIR-like epidemic models with spatial interaction models, which enables the forecasting of COVID-19 dynamics in Poland through time and space. Mobility level, estimated by regional population density distances among inhabitants, was determining variable model. The spatiotemporal diffusion model, allows temporal prediction cas...
Tracing the spatial spread of pathogens is a key objective of molecular infectious disease epidemiology. Accordingly, a wide range of genotyping approaches have been used to monitor the dissemination of Staphylococcus aureus strains, from localized outbreaks to global spread. We provide a critical review of available methods, revealing that molecular markers currently in use for typing S. aureu...
The perceived spatial spread of amplitude panned virtual sources is dependent on the number of loudspeakers that are used to produce them. When pair-wise or triplet-wise panning is applied, the number of active loudspeakers varies as a function of the panning direction. This may cause unwanted changes in spatial spread and coloration of a virtual source if it is moved in the sound stage. In thi...
The modelling of wildland fire spread across a heterogeneous landscape is significant because fire dynamics are sensitive to local spatial characteristics. The development of accurate fire models and simulations is important due to the economical and social losses wildland fire can cause and the resulting need to better understand, predict, and contain fire spread. We present a methodology for ...
A reaction-diffusion model for the spatial spread of West Nile virus is developed and analysed. Infection dynamics are based on a modified version of a model for cross infection between birds and mosquitoes (Wonham et al., 2004, An epidemiological model for West-Nile virus: Invasion analysis and control application. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 271), and diffusion terms describe movement of birds and ...
This review considers the development of some of the models and modelling approaches designed to predict the spread and spatial behaviour of wildland fire events. Such events and their accurate prediction are of great importance to those seeking to understand and manage fire-prone ecosystems. The key problem which fire modelling seeks to address is outlined. Models predicting the rate of fire s...
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