We propose a comprehensive Bayesian approach for graphical model determination in observational studies that can accommodate binary, ordinal or continuous variables simultaneously. Our new models are called copula Gaussian graphical models and embed graphical model selection inside a semiparametric Gaussian copula. The domain of applicability of our methods is very broad and encompass many stud...

This paper studies the problem of default correlation. We first introduce a random variable called “timeuntil-default” to denote the survival time of each defaultable entity or financial instrument, and define the default correlation between two credit risks as the correlation coefficient between their survival times. Then we argue why a copula function approach should be used to specify the jo...

We propose a comprehensive Bayesian approach for graphical model determination in observational studies that can accommodate binary, ordinal or continuous variables simultaneously. Our new models are called copula Gaussian graphical models (CGGMs) and embed graphical model selection inside a semiparametric Gaussian copula. The domain of applicability of our methods is very broad and encompass m...

We propose a comprehensive Bayesian approach for graphical model determination in observational studies that can accommodate binary, ordinal or continuous variables simultaneously. Our new models are called copula Gaussian graphical models (CGGMs) and embed graphical model selection inside a semiparametric Gaussian copula. The domain of applicability of our methods is very broad and encompasses...

We propose a comprehensive Bayesian approach for graphical model determination in observational studies that can accommodate binary, ordinal or continuous variables simultaneously. Our new models are called copula Gaussian graphical models (CGGMs) and embed graphical model selection inside a semiparametric Gaussian copula. The domain of applicability of our methods is very broad and encompasses...

We develop Bayesian inference of a multivariate GARCH model where the dependence is introduced by a D-vine copula on the innovations. A D-vine copula is a special case of vine copulas which are a relatively new and very flexible concept to construct multivariate copulas. In particular it allows to model dependency between pairs of margins individually. In a simulation study and three real data ...

The entropy theory has been widely applied in hydrology for probability inference based on incomplete information and the principle of maximum entropy. Meanwhile, copulas have been extensively used for multivariate analysis and modeling the dependence structure between hydrologic and climatic variables. The underlying assumption of the principle of maximum entropy is that the entropy variables ...