We propose a dynamic framework which encompasses the main risks in balance sheets of banks in an integrated fashion. Our contributions are fourfold: (1) solving a simple one-period model that describes the optimal bank policy under credit risk; (2) estimating the long-term stochastic processes underlying the risk factors in the balance sheet, taking into account the credit and interest rate cyc...

Article history: Received 11 September 2014 Received in revised form 17 April 2015 Accepted 25 April 2015 Available online 2 May 2015 Westudy the impact of sovereign risk on the credit risk of the non-financial corporate sector in the Eurozone using credit default swap data. We show that an increase in sovereign credit spreads is associated with a statistically and economically significant incr...

We consider a closed economy where a risk neutral bank competes with a competitive bond market. Firms can finance a risky project either by a bank credit or by issuing a bond which is directly sold to risk averse investors who also hold safe deposits at the bank. We show that the bank tends to allocate more capital to lower quality projects but there are some interesting qualifications. If the ...

The turmoil in the capital markets in 1997 and 1998 has highlighted the need for systematic stress testing of banks’ portfolios, including both their trading and lending books. We propose that underlying macroeconomic volatility is a key part of a useful conceptual framework for stress testing credit portfolios, and that credit migration matrices provide the specific linkages between underlying...

[Abstract] The assessment of credit risk of real-estate of Chinese banks has become a hot point nowadays. Traditional gross risk-evaluation methods are mainly Discriminant Analysis (DA) and logistic regression, and the most common approach is a credit rating system based on logistic regression. Yet the daily ripening neural network technique has opened up a new idea for experts in fields of ban...

ordered probit model was employed to investigate the factors affecting access to credit, allocated by iran agricultural bank to the needy in kohgilouieh and boirahmad province. based on the received credits, farmers were divided into five groups and the model estimated for these groups. the required data were collected by filling up of a number of 198 questionnaires by farmers in kohgilouieh an...

We consider a closed economy where a risk neutral bank competes with a competitive bond market. Firms can finance a risky project either by a bank credit or by issuing a bond which is directly sold to risk averse investors who also can hold safe deposits at the bank. We show that a monopolistic bank tends to allocate more capital to lower quality projects but there are some interesting qualific...

This study examines the misallocation of credit in Japan associated with the perverse incentives of banks to provide additional credit to the weakest firms. Firms are far more likely to receive additional credit if they are in poor financial condition, and these firms continue to perform poorly after receiving additional bank financing. Troubled Japanese banks allocate credit to severely impair...

Research on credit risk management systems in Indonesia commercial banks beyond moderating contingency variables such as competitive strategy, corporate culture, external environment and organizational structure has never been done. The research objectives are: (1) to analyze the influence of contingency variables (competitive strategy, corporate culture, external environment and organizational...