The effective thermal conductivity (ETC) of soil is an essential parameter for the design and unhindered operation underground energy transportation storage systems. Various experimental, empirical, semi-empirical, mathematical, numerical methods have been tried in past, but lack either accuracy or are computationally cumbersome. recent developments computer science provided a new computational...

A new methodology for Emergent System Identification is proposed in this paper. The new method applies the self-organizing Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) functional networks, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), and Genetic Programming (GP) that is effective in identifying complex dynamic systems. The focus of the paper will be on how Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) is applied within Grou...

Replicator dynamics and replication as used in evolutionary algorithms are, due to their most basic forms, structurally the same. This short note will prove this thesis. Although this finding is clear cut and easy to show, it is of great importance for the not yet united families of game theorists on the one hand and evolutionary programmers on the other, meaning that it is perfectly legal and ...

We specify a class of non-linear and non-Gaussian models for which we estimate and forecast the conditional distributions with daily frequency. We use these forecasts to calculate VaR measures for three different equity markets (US, GB and Japan). These forecasts are evaluated on the basis of different statistical performance measures as well as on the basis of their economic costs that go alon...

This paper proposes pure significance tests for the absence of nonlinearity in cointegrating relationships. No assumption of the functional form of the nonlinearity is made. It is envisaged that the application of such tests could form the first step towards specifying a nonlinear cointegrating relationship for empirical modelling. The asymptotic and small sample properties of our tests are inv...

Different variables affect the performance of the Stirling engine and are considered in optimization and designing activities. Among these factors, torque and power have the greatest effect on the robustness of the Stirling engine, so they need to be determined with low uncertainty and high precision. In this article, the distribution of torque and power are determined using experimental data. ...

Traffic flow forecasting, the core element of intelligent transportation system, plays an important role in traffic information services and traffic guidance. Since neural network prediction needs plenty of training samples, it cannot guarantee the real-timeness of traffic flow forecasting. In this paper, a GMDH network was constructed by self-organization, and the network was applied to traffi...

In this study, we introduce and investigate a class of neural architectures of Polynomial Neural Networks (PNNs), discuss a comprehensive design methodology and carry out a series of numeric experiments. PNN is a flexible neural architecture whose structure (topology) is developed through learning. In particular, the number of layers of the PNN is not fixed in advance but becomes generated on t...

introduction:apache (acute physiologic and chronic health evaluation) score is a medical tool designed to measure the severity of disease for adult patients admitted to intensive care units (icu). however, it is designed based on the american patients’ data and is not well suited to be used for iranian people. in addition, iranian hospitals are not equipped with high dependency units which is r...