We connect measures of public opinion measured from polls with sentiment measured from text. We analyze several surveys on consumer confidence and political opinion over the 2008 to 2009 period, and find they correlate to sentiment word frequencies in contemporaneous Twitter messages. While our results vary across datasets, in several cases the correlations are as high as 80%, and capture impor...

Election polls are not only essential to measure electorates' political attitudes, preferences, and behavior but may also influence their formation. In this study, we evaluate election in Turkey, which have been increasingly popular criticized by actors the last years, from a survey methodology perspective investigate whether they follow internationally recognized standards. To end, collected c...

Public opinion polls consistently show that a growing majority of Americans support same-sex marriage. Critics, however, raise the possibility that these polls are plagued by social desirability bias, and thereby may overstate public support for gay and lesbian rights. We test this proposition using a list experiment embedded in the 2013 Cooperative Congressional Election Study. List experiment...

One of the longest running questions that has been regularly included in U.S. national public opinion polls is “Are you in favor of the death penalty for persons convicted of murder?” Because the death penalty is governed by state laws rather than federal laws, it is of special interest to know how public opinion varies by state, and how it has changed over time within each state. In this paper...

Politicians learning about public opinion and responding to their resulting perceptions is one key way via which responsive policy-making comes about. Despite the strong normative importance of politicians’ understanding opinion, empirical evidence on how politicians learn these opinions in first place scant. Drawing survey data collected from almost 900 incumbent five countries, this study pre...