This paper surveys some common state space models used in macroeconomics and finance and shows how to specify and estimate these models using the SsfPack algorithms implemented in the S-PLUS module S+FinMetrics. Examples include recursive regression models, time varying parameter models, exact ARMA models and calculation of the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, unobserved components models, stoch...

The dynamic response analysis of structures subjected to a stochastic wind field is carried out in the time domain by a step-by-step integration approach. The loading is represented by simulated time histories of the aerodynamic force. The auto-regressive and moving average (ARMA) recursive models are utilized to simulate time series of wind loads. Depending on the system dynamic characteristic...

We propose in this paper an original technique to predict global radiation using a hybrid ARMA/ANN model and data issued from a numerical weather prediction model (ALADIN). We particularly look at the Multi-Layer Perceptron. After optimizing our architecture with ALADIN and endogenous data previously made stationary and using an innovative pre-input layer selection method, we combined it to an ...

It is essential to find solar predictive methods to massively insert renewable energies on the electrical distribution grid. The goal of this study is to find the best methodology allowing predicting with high accuracy the hourly global radiation. The knowledge of this quantity is essential for the grid manager or the private PV producer in order to anticipate fluctuations related to clouds occ...

Switchgrass is known as one of the best second-generation lignocellulosic biomasses for bioethanol production. Designing efficient switchgrass-based bioethanol supply chain (SBSC) is an essential requirement for commercializing the bioethanol production from switchgrass. This paper presents a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model to design SBSC in which bioethanol demand is under auto-r...