This lecture describes the United Kingdom’s experience with inflation targeting. It provides an historical perspective to the introduction of inflation targeting, discusses the concept of inflation targets, and compares an inflation targeting regime with money supply and exchange rate targeting regimes. It is noteworthy that inflation targeting is based on the assumption that low inflation is t...

Emerging market countries increasingly issue nominal government debt. At the same time, these countries experience sovereign debt crises with default and high inflation. This paper studies the implications of debt denomination for sovereign default and inflation policies. Using bond-level data on government borrowing, I show that default and inflation rates vary systematically with debt denomin...

It is well known that in all G-7 countries inflation has been low and rather stable for almost twenty years. During this period, we have seen the emergence of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China)—especially China—as a producer of low-cost manufacturing goods. Many economic commentators have suggested a causal link between the two. In particular, it is conjectured that the resul...

Inflation targeting was first introduced in 1990, in New Zealand. Since then it has been adopted by more than twenty countries. This period of fifteen years has seen major progress in practical monetary policy. In particular, the practice of inflation targeting has led to a more systematic and consistent internal decision process (Brash, 2000; Sims, 2002; Svensson 2001a); much more transparent ...

This paper examines the welfare implications of managing asset-price with consumer-price inflation targeting by monetary authorities who have to learn the laws of motion for both inflation rates. The central bank can reduce the volatility of consumption as well as improve welfare more effectively if it adopts state-contingent Taylor rules aimed at inflation and Qgrowth targets in this learning ...

Several countries are concurrently experiencing historically low inflation rates and ageing populations. Is there a connection, as recently suggested by some senior central bankers? We undertake a comprehensive test of this hypothesis in a panel of 22 countries over the 1955–2010 period. We find a stable and significant correlation between demography and low-frequency inflation. In particular, ...

We investigate the international transmission of inflation among G-7 countries using data-determined vector autoregression analysis, as advocated by Swanson and Granger [Swanson, N., Granger, C., 1997. Impulse response functions based on a causal approach to residual orthogonalization in vector autoregressions. Journal of the American Statistical Association 92, 357–367]. Over the period 1973–2...

in this paper, by using dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, optimal monetary rule derived for central bank of iran. monetary transmission mechanism of the model includes four equations, aggregate demand, aggregate supply, oil price and taylor rule. we have proved that dynamic structure of aggregate demand relation, regarding monetary inflation in iran, is a function of money growth rate. wi...