Foresight is currently perceived as a critical activity in the development of innovation policies and corporate strategies. While there are many descriptions of the benefits of foresight, there is little research into how these benefits are created. In addition, although the view of innovations has shifted towards a systems understanding, the same has not happened with foresight, which is large...

In this paper we propose a method to robustly estimate linear regression quantiles with censored data. We adjust the estimator recently developed by Portnoy by replacing the Koenker-Bassett regression quantiles with the regression depth quantiles. The resulting optimization problem is solved iteratively over a set of grid points. We show on some examples that, contrary to the Koenker-Bassett ap...

In addition to the special issue articles, we have asked three leading researchers in software engineering for their perspectives on [email protected]. We include contributions from Betty H.C. Cheng, Anthony Finkelstein, and Bran Selic as sidebars in this guest editors’ introduction. Their insights add significantly to the value of this special issue, and we thank them for their thoughtful contri...

In modern portfolio theory, the balancing of expected returns on investments against uncertainties in those returns is aided by the use of utility functions. The Kelly criterion offers another approach, rooted in information theory, that always implies logarithmic utility. The two approaches seem incompatible, too loosely or too tightly constraining investors’ risk preferences, from their respe...

Article history: Received 11 June 2012 Received in revised form 19 December 2013 Accepted 20 December 2013 Available online 28 December 2013 Adjustment costs play a prominent role in explanations of capital structure, but the extent of their economic importance is unknown. A credit line has institutional features important for this analysis, notably its sunk costs of access to the debt market, ...

This paper investigates the interactions between preemptive competition and leverage. We find that the second mover always leaves the duopoly market before the first mover, although the leader may exit before the follower’s entry. We also see the leverage effects of debt financing increasing firm values and accelerating investment, even in the presence of preemptive competition. In addition to ...

This paper argues that trade liberalization has a potentially significant impact on financial leverage. We compare the predictions of the trade-off model of capital structure with the pecking order model. In the first case, we suggest that trade liberalization affects the trade-off between the tax advantages of debt and expected bankruptcy costs. This implies that a reduction in domestic tariff...